Arsenal vs Leeds result and stats
Win probability: home 67%, draw 22%, away 11%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersArsenal beat Leeds 2–1 at home in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Arsenal 67%, the draw 22% and Leeds 11%, so a home win had a 67% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Arsenal 2.33, Leeds 0.62, so Arsenal created the better chances. Arsenal had 13 shots (6 on target) to Leeds's 11 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ARLE
2.33Expected goals0.62
13Shots11
6On target5
2Corners4
12Fouls20
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: P Tierney
Recent form
Arsenal
L @ Brighton0–3 · 19 Sep
W @ Sunderland2–0 · 12 Sep
W v Chelsea2–1 · 6 Sep
W @ Aston Villa1–0 · 31 Aug
W v Coventry3–0 · 21 Aug
Leeds
D v Crystal Palace0–0 · 20 Sep
W v Newcastle United4–1 · 14 Sep
D @ Brighton1–1 · 5 Sep
D v Brentford1–1 · 30 Aug
W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Arsenal won 6, Leeds won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Leeds 0–4 Arsenal, a win for Arsenal.
Leeds 0–4 Arsenal31 Jan 2026
Arsenal 5–0 Leeds23 Aug 2025
Arsenal 4–1 Leeds1 Apr 2023
Leeds 0–1 Arsenal16 Oct 2022
Arsenal 2–1 Leeds8 May 2022
Leeds 1–4 Arsenal18 Dec 2021
Season averages per game
ARLE
1.62Goals1.12
0.62Conceded0.75
1.74xG1.30
0.77xG against1.30
13.4Shots11.9
4.4On target4.0
5.6Corners4.1
1.25Yellow cards1.88
62%Clean sheets38%
25%Both score62%
50%3+ goals25%