Arsenal vs Chelsea result and stats
Win probability: home 64%, draw 23%, away 14%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersArsenal beat Chelsea 2–1 at home in the Premier League on Sunday 6 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Arsenal 64%, the draw 23% and Chelsea 14%, so a home win had a 64% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Arsenal 2.05, Chelsea 0.39, so Arsenal created the better chances. Arsenal had 16 shots (9 on target) to Chelsea's 13 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ARCH
2.05Expected goals0.39
16Shots13
9On target5
5Corners3
13Fouls16
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: C Kavanagh
Recent form
Arsenal
W @ Aston Villa1–0 · 31 Aug
W v Coventry3–0 · 21 Aug
W @ Crystal Palace2–1 · 24 May
W v Burnley1–0 · 18 May
W @ West Ham1–0 · 10 May
Chelsea
W v Brighton4–3 · 30 Aug
W @ Fulham3–2 · 24 Aug
L @ Sunderland1–2 · 24 May
W v Tottenham2–1 · 19 May
D @ Liverpool1–1 · 9 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Arsenal won 6, Chelsea won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea, a win for Arsenal.
Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea1 Mar 2026
Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal30 Nov 2025
Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea16 Mar 2025
Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal10 Nov 2024
Arsenal 5–0 Chelsea23 Apr 2024
Chelsea 2–2 Arsenal21 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
ARCH
1.62Goals2.12
0.62Conceded1.88
1.74xG1.23
0.77xG against1.42
13.4Shots13.4
4.4On target5.4
5.6Corners5.6
1.25Yellow cards2.12
62%Clean sheets12%
25%Both score62%
50%3+ goals75%