Chelsea
Chelsea are 5th in the Premier League with 13 points from 8 games (4 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats), having scored 17 and conceded 15.
They average 1.23 expected goals for and 1.42 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 5th of 20 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Chelsea to finish with about 57 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 22% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Manchester United on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Chelsea a 43% chance of winning.
5 / 20GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.23xG per game
1.42xG against per game
12%clean sheets
57.1expected final points
0.1%chance to win the league
Next matches
Chelsea
Manchester United
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 31%
Likeliest score 1–1
Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction (Premier League):
Sunderland
Chelsea
Win probability: home 32%, draw 28%, away 40%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Chelsea0
Tottenham2
Upset
Win probability: home 53%, draw 24%, away 23%
0.5–0.7match xG
Everton 0–2 Chelsea result and stats:
17 Oct
Everton0
Chelsea2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 29%, away 37%
0.4–1.5match xG
Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth result and stats:
10 Oct
Chelsea5
Bournemouth1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 30%
1.1–1.4match xG
Brentford 3–0 Chelsea result and stats:
18 Sep
Brentford3
Chelsea0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 41%, draw 26%, away 33%
2.6–0.8match xG
Chelsea 2–2 Hull result and stats:
12 Sep
Chelsea2
Hull2
Upset
Win probability: home 50%, draw 29%, away 21%
0.9–1.4match xG
Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea result and stats:
6 Sep
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 64%, draw 23%, away 14%
2.0–0.4match xG
Chelsea 4–3 Brighton result and stats:
30 Aug
Chelsea4
Brighton3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 30%
2.9–1.4match xG
Fulham 2–3 Chelsea result and stats:
24 Aug
Fulham2
Chelsea3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 36%, draw 28%, away 37%
1.4–1.7match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.12
Goals conceded1.88
Expected goals (xG)1.23
xG against1.42
Shots13.4
Shots on target5.4
Shots on target against5.6
Conversion (goals per shot on target)39%
Corners5.6
Fouls9.9
Yellow cards2.12
Red cards0.12
Clean sheets12%
Both teams scored62%
3 or more goals75%
Failed to score25%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.19
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.08
Overall+0.27