Chelsea vs Brighton result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 30%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersChelsea beat Brighton 4–3 at home in the Premier League on Sunday 30 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Chelsea 43%, the draw 26% and Brighton 30%, so a home win had a 43% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Chelsea 2.93, Brighton 1.40, so Chelsea created the better chances. Chelsea had 17 shots (6 on target) to Brighton's 15 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CHBR
2.93Expected goals1.40
17Shots15
6On target6
4Corners7
6Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals1
Referee: M Oliver
Recent form
Chelsea
W @ Fulham3–2 · 24 Aug
L @ Sunderland1–2 · 24 May
W v Tottenham2–1 · 19 May
D @ Liverpool1–1 · 9 May
L v Nottingham Forest1–3 · 4 May
Brighton
W v Aston Villa4–0 · 23 Aug
L v Manchester United0–3 · 24 May
L @ Leeds0–1 · 17 May
W v Wolves3–0 · 9 May
L @ Newcastle United1–3 · 2 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 3, Brighton won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2026, finished Brighton 3–0 Chelsea, a win for Brighton.
Brighton 3–0 Chelsea21 Apr 2026
Chelsea 1–3 Brighton27 Sep 2025
Brighton 3–0 Chelsea14 Feb 2025
Chelsea 4–2 Brighton28 Sep 2024
Brighton 1–2 Chelsea15 May 2024
Chelsea 3–2 Brighton3 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
CHBR
2.12Goals2.88
1.88Conceded0.88
1.23xG2.03
1.42xG against1.42
13.4Shots17.8
5.4On target5.4
5.6Corners5.2
2.12Yellow cards2.12
12%Clean sheets62%
62%Both score25%
75%3+ goals62%