Brighton
Brighton are 3rd in the Premier League with 16 points from 8 games (5 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats), having scored 23 and conceded 7.
They average 2.03 expected goals for and 1.42 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 4th of 20 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Brighton to finish with about 62 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 52% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Manchester City on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Brighton a 18% chance of winning.
4 / 20GOSSIPBALL rating rank
2.03xG per game
1.42xG against per game
62%clean sheets
61.9expected final points
0.5%chance to win the league
Next matches
Manchester City
Brighton
Win probability: home 60%, draw 22%, away 18%
Likeliest score 1–1
Brighton vs Brentford prediction (Premier League):
Brighton
Brentford
Win probability: home 46%, draw 25%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
25 Oct
Liverpool2
Brighton0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 50%, draw 24%, away 26%
1.2–1.3match xG
Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace result and stats:
18 Oct
Brighton5
Crystal Palace0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 22%
2.0–0.8match xG
Sunderland 0–2 Brighton result and stats:
10 Oct
Sunderland0
Brighton2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 28%, away 38%
0.7–1.4match xG
Brighton 3–0 Arsenal result and stats:
19 Sep
Brighton3
Arsenal0
Upset
Win probability: home 21%, draw 26%, away 53%
1.3–1.6match xG
Coventry 0–5 Brighton result and stats:
13 Sep
Coventry0
Brighton5
Called correctly
Win probability: home 28%, draw 30%, away 42%
1.3–2.8match xG
Brighton 1–1 Leeds result and stats:
5 Sep
Brighton1
Leeds1
Upset
Win probability: home 50%, draw 26%, away 24%
2.2–2.5match xG
Chelsea 4–3 Brighton result and stats:
30 Aug
Chelsea4
Brighton3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 30%
2.9–1.4match xG
Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa result and stats:
23 Aug
Brighton4
Aston Villa0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 33%
3.8–0.3match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.88
Goals conceded0.88
Expected goals (xG)2.03
xG against1.42
Shots17.8
Shots on target5.4
Shots on target against3.4
Conversion (goals per shot on target)54%
Corners5.2
Fouls12.4
Yellow cards2.12
Red cards0.12
Clean sheets62%
Both teams scored25%
3 or more goals62%
Failed to score12%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.22
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.11
Overall+0.33