Premier LeagueMatchday 10Sunday 8 November 2026 · 14:00

Brighton vs Brentford prediction

Brighton

46%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

11.5% chance

25%

draw

Brentford

29%

away win

Win probability: home 46%, draw 25%, away 29%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Brighton favourites to beat Brentford at home in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Brighton a 46% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Brentford 29%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Brighton and 1.3 from Brentford, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Brighton keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Brentford in 17%.

Brighton are 3rd in the table with 16 points from 8 games; Brentford are 6th with 11. In their last five league games Brighton took 12 points (WWWWL) and Brentford took 6 (DWDLD). This season Brighton average 2.03 expected goals (xG) for and 1.42 against per game; Brentford average 1.68 for and 1.48 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brighton won 5, Brentford won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Brighton, a win for Brighton.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Brighton goalsColumns: Brentford goals

1–111.5%

2–19.3%

1–27.2%

1–07.0%

2–06.9%

2–26.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

95%

2 or more goals

82%

3 or more goals

60%

4 or more goals

38%

5 or more goals

20%

Both teams score

62%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.76 for Brighton and 1.35 for Brentford.

Winning margin

Explained

Brighton by 3

Brighton by 2

14%

Brighton by 1

21%

Draw

25%

Brentford by 3

Brentford by 2

Brentford by 1

16%

Each team's goals

Explained

Brighton expected goals1.76

Brentford expected goals1.35

Brighton keep a clean sheet26%

Brentford keep a clean sheet17%

Brighton win without conceding21%

Brentford win without conceding12%

Brighton score 2 or more52%

Brentford score 2 or more39%

Recent form

Brighton

L @ Liverpool0–2 · 25 Oct

W v Crystal Palace5–0 · 18 Oct

W @ Sunderland2–0 · 10 Oct

W v Arsenal3–0 · 19 Sep

W @ Coventry5–0 · 13 Sep

Brentford

D @ Hull1–1 · 25 Oct

L v Liverpool1–2 · 17 Oct

D @ Aston Villa2–2 · 10 Oct

W v Chelsea3–0 · 18 Sep

D @ Bournemouth2–2 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brighton won 5, Brentford won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Brighton, a win for Brighton.

Brentford 0–2 Brighton21 Feb 2026

Brighton 2–1 Brentford22 Nov 2025

Brentford 4–2 Brighton19 Apr 2025

Brighton 0–0 Brentford27 Dec 2024

Brentford 0–0 Brighton3 Apr 2024

Brighton 2–1 Brentford6 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

BRBR

2.88

Goals

1.75

0.88

Conceded

1.12

2.03

1.68

1.42

xG against

1.48

17.8

Shots

14.9

5.4

On target

4.4

5.2

Corners

4.1

2.12

Yellow cards

2.62

62%

Clean sheets

25%

Both score

75%

62%

3+ goals

62%

Questions and answers

Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?

GossipBall gives Brighton a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brentford 29%. GossipBall makes Brighton favourites to beat Brentford at home.

What is the most likely score in Brighton vs Brentford?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%), 1–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Brighton vs Brentford?

GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Brighton and Brentford score.

Will there be three or more goals in Brighton vs Brentford?

There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.8 for Brighton, 1.3 for Brentford).

When is Brighton vs Brentford?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Brentford?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brighton won 5, Brentford won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Brighton, a win for Brighton.