Aston Villa vs Arsenal result and stats
Win probability: home 20%, draw 26%, away 53%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersArsenal won 1–0 away at Aston Villa in the Premier League on Monday 31 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Aston Villa 20%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 53%, so an away win had a 53% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Aston Villa 0.32, Arsenal 1.05, so Arsenal created the better chances. Aston Villa had 7 shots (0 on target) to Arsenal's 7 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AVAR
0.32Expected goals1.05
7Shots7
0On target2
2Corners4
17Fouls6
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: J Gillett
Recent form
Aston Villa
L @ Brighton0–4 · 23 Aug
W @ Manchester City2–1 · 24 May
W v Liverpool4–2 · 15 May
D @ Burnley2–2 · 10 May
L v Tottenham1–2 · 3 May
Arsenal
W v Coventry3–0 · 21 Aug
W @ Crystal Palace2–1 · 24 May
W v Burnley1–0 · 18 May
W @ West Ham1–0 · 10 May
W v Fulham3–0 · 2 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 3, Arsenal won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Dec 2025, finished Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa, a win for Arsenal.
Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa30 Dec 2025
Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal6 Dec 2025
Arsenal 2–2 Aston Villa18 Jan 2025
Aston Villa 0–2 Arsenal24 Aug 2024
Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa14 Apr 2024
Aston Villa 1–0 Arsenal9 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
AVAR
1.12Goals1.62
1.50Conceded0.62
1.12xG1.74
1.61xG against0.77
11.4Shots13.4
3.0On target4.4
3.2Corners5.6
2.25Yellow cards1.25
25%Clean sheets62%
50%Both score25%
62%3+ goals50%