Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal result and stats
Win probability: home 18%, draw 27%, away 55%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersArsenal won 1–0 away at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Nottingham Forest 18%, the draw 27% and Arsenal 55%, so an away win had a 55% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Nottingham Forest 0.90, Arsenal 1.14, so Arsenal created the better chances. Nottingham Forest had 14 shots (2 on target) to Arsenal's 9 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NFAR
0.90Expected goals1.14
14Shots9
2On target1
8Corners6
14Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: M Oliver
Recent form
Nottingham Forest
L @ Crystal Palace1–3 · 11 Oct
L v Coventry0–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Aston Villa2–1 · 12 Sep
D v Tottenham0–0 · 5 Sep
D @ Liverpool2–2 · 29 Aug
Arsenal
W v Leeds2–1 · 10 Oct
L @ Brighton0–3 · 19 Sep
W @ Sunderland2–0 · 12 Sep
W v Chelsea2–1 · 6 Sep
W @ Aston Villa1–0 · 31 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Nottingham Forest won 1, Arsenal won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal17 Jan 2026
Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest13 Sep 2025
Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal26 Feb 2025
Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest23 Nov 2024
Nottingham Forest 1–2 Arsenal30 Jan 2024
Arsenal 2–1 Nottingham Forest12 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
NFAR
0.75Goals1.62
1.25Conceded0.62
1.73xG1.74
1.10xG against0.77
17.1Shots13.4
3.8On target4.4
4.8Corners5.6
2.12Yellow cards1.25
12%Clean sheets62%
50%Both score25%
38%3+ goals50%