Premier LeagueMatchday 10Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00

Arsenal vs Hull prediction

Arsenal

69%

home win

likeliest score

2–0

15.1% chance

22%

draw

Hull

10%

away win

Win probability: home 69%, draw 22%, away 10%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Arsenal clear favourites to beat Hull at home in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Arsenal a 69% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Hull 10%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Arsenal and 0.6 from Hull, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 38% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–0 (15%). Arsenal keep a clean sheet in 56% of outcomes, Hull in 15%.

Arsenal are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 8 games; Hull are 10th with 10. In their last five league games Arsenal took 12 points (WLWWW) and Hull took 3 (DLDLD). This season Arsenal average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 0.77 against per game; Hull average 1.04 for and 1.52 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Arsenal goalsColumns: Hull goals

2–015.1%

1–014.9%

1–19.9%

3–09.7%

0–09.0%

2–18.8%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

91%

2 or more goals

72%

3 or more goals

46%

4 or more goals

24%

5 or more goals

11%

Both teams score

38%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.92 for Arsenal and 0.58 for Hull.

Winning margin

Explained

Arsenal by 3

13%

Arsenal by 2

22%

Arsenal by 1

26%

Draw

22%

Hull by 3

Hull by 2

Hull by 1

Each team's goals

Explained

Arsenal expected goals1.92

Hull expected goals0.58

Arsenal keep a clean sheet56%

Hull keep a clean sheet15%

Arsenal win without conceding47%

Hull win without conceding6%

Arsenal score 2 or more57%

Hull score 2 or more12%

Recent form

Arsenal

W v Everton2–0 · 24 Oct

W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 18 Oct

W v Leeds2–1 · 10 Oct

L @ Brighton0–3 · 19 Sep

W @ Sunderland2–0 · 12 Sep

Hull

D v Brentford1–1 · 25 Oct

L @ Fulham0–1 · 17 Oct

D v Everton2–2 · 11 Oct

L @ Newcastle United1–2 · 19 Sep

D @ Chelsea2–2 · 12 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

ARHU

1.62

Goals

1.12

0.62

Conceded

1.00

1.74

1.04

0.77

xG against

1.52

13.4

Shots

10.9

4.4

On target

3.2

5.6

Corners

3.9

1.25

Yellow cards

2.62

62%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Both score

50%

3+ goals

38%

Questions and answers

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull?

GossipBall gives Arsenal a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hull 10%. GossipBall makes Arsenal clear favourites to beat Hull at home.

What is the most likely score in Arsenal vs Hull?

The likeliest single score is 2–0, with a 15% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull?

GossipBall gives a 38% chance that both Arsenal and Hull score.

Will there be three or more goals in Arsenal vs Hull?

There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.9 for Arsenal, 0.6 for Hull).

When is Arsenal vs Hull?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.