GOSSIPBALL
Premier LeagueSaturday 24 October 2026 ·

Aston Villa vs Manchester City result and stats

24%
pre-match home win
2–1
full time
25%
draw
51%
pre-match away win
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%

Match report

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Aston Villa beat Manchester City 2–1 at home in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Aston Villa 24%, the draw 25% and Manchester City 51%, so a home win had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.

On expected goals it finished Aston Villa 0.61, Manchester City 1.56, so Manchester City created the better chances. Aston Villa had 8 shots (2 on target) to Manchester City's 15 (7 on target).

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Match stats

AVMC
0.61
Expected goals
1.56
8
Shots
15
2
On target
7
4
Corners
7
21
Fouls
17
4
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Referee: P Bankes

Recent form

Aston Villa
W @ Newcastle United1–0 · 17 Oct
D v Brentford2–2 · 10 Oct
W @ Tottenham3–2 · 19 Sep
L v Nottingham Forest1–2 · 12 Sep
D @ Hull0–0 · 5 Sep
Manchester City
W v Ipswich3–2 · 17 Oct
W @ Liverpool3–0 · 11 Oct
W v Sunderland5–3 · 20 Sep
W @ Manchester United1–0 · 13 Sep
W v Coventry1–0 · 5 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 4, Manchester City won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa, a win for Aston Villa.

Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa24 May 2026
Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City26 Oct 2025
Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa22 Apr 2025
Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City21 Dec 2024
Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa3 Apr 2024
Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City6 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

AVMC
1.12
Goals
2.50
1.50
Conceded
1.12
1.12
xG
2.12
1.61
xG against
1.30
11.4
Shots
14.6
3.0
On target
5.5
3.2
Corners
5.8
2.25
Yellow cards
1.62
25%
Clean sheets
38%
50%
Both score
62%
62%
3+ goals
75%

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]