Manchester City
Manchester City are 1st in the Premier League with 21 points from 8 games (7 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats), having scored 20 and conceded 9.
They average 2.12 expected goals for and 1.30 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 2nd of 20 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Manchester City to finish with about 80 points, with a 41% chance of winning the league, 99% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Brighton on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Manchester City a 60% chance of winning.
2 / 20GOSSIPBALL rating rank
2.12xG per game
1.30xG against per game
38%clean sheets
80.3expected final points
41%chance to win the league
Next matches
Manchester City
Brighton
Win probability: home 60%, draw 22%, away 18%
Likeliest score 1–1
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction (Premier League):
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Win probability: home 22%, draw 26%, away 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Aston Villa2
Manchester City1
Upset
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%
0.6–1.6match xG
Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich result and stats:
17 Oct
Manchester City3
Ipswich2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 85%, draw 11%, away 5%
3.5–1.7match xG
Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City result and stats:
11 Oct
Liverpool0
Manchester City3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 32%, draw 26%, away 42%
0.9–1.3match xG
Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland result and stats:
20 Sep
Manchester City5
Sunderland3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 66%, draw 22%, away 12%
2.8–3.6match xG
Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City result and stats:
13 Sep
Manchester United0
Manchester City1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
1.0–1.1match xG
Manchester City 1–0 Coventry result and stats:
5 Sep
Manchester City1
Coventry0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 17%, away 7%
2.1–1.4match xG
Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City result and stats:
28 Aug
Crystal Palace1
Manchester City4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 25%, away 57%
0.7–2.2match xG
Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth result and stats:
23 Aug
Manchester City2
Bournemouth1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 65%, draw 21%, away 14%
2.4–0.6match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.50
Goals conceded1.12
Expected goals (xG)2.12
xG against1.30
Shots14.6
Shots on target5.5
Shots on target against3.9
Conversion (goals per shot on target)46%
Corners5.8
Fouls11.5
Yellow cards1.62
Red cards0.12
Clean sheets38%
Both teams scored62%
3 or more goals75%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.45
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.38
Overall+0.82