GOSSIPBALL
Premier LeagueSunday 11 October 2026 ·

Liverpool vs Manchester City result and stats

32%
pre-match home win
0–3
full time
26%
draw
42%
pre-match away win
Win probability: home 32%, draw 26%, away 42%

Match report

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Manchester City won 3–0 away at Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Liverpool 32%, the draw 26% and Manchester City 42%, so an away win had a 42% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.

On expected goals it finished Liverpool 0.94, Manchester City 1.29, so Manchester City created the better chances. Liverpool had 13 shots (6 on target) to Manchester City's 15 (4 on target).

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Match stats

LIMC
0.94
Expected goals
1.29
13
Shots
15
6
On target
4
5
Corners
6
19
Fouls
14
4
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Referee: C Kavanagh

Recent form

Liverpool
W @ Bournemouth1–0 · 20 Sep
D v Fulham0–0 · 12 Sep
W @ Ipswich2–0 · 4 Sep
D v Nottingham Forest2–2 · 29 Aug
D @ Newcastle United2–2 · 23 Aug
Manchester City
W v Sunderland5–3 · 20 Sep
W @ Manchester United1–0 · 13 Sep
W v Coventry1–0 · 5 Sep
W @ Crystal Palace4–1 · 28 Aug
W v Bournemouth2–1 · 23 Aug

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Liverpool won 3, Manchester City won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City, a win for Manchester City.

Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City8 Feb 2026
Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool9 Nov 2025
Manchester City 0–2 Liverpool23 Feb 2025
Liverpool 2–0 Manchester City1 Dec 2024
Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City10 Mar 2024
Manchester City 1–1 Liverpool25 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

LIMC
1.38
Goals
2.50
1.00
Conceded
1.12
1.51
xG
2.12
1.20
xG against
1.30
15.4
Shots
14.6
4.9
On target
5.5
4.8
Corners
5.8
2.38
Yellow cards
1.62
50%
Clean sheets
38%
38%
Both score
62%
50%
3+ goals
75%

GOSSIPBALL is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]