Premier LeagueMatchday 10Saturday 7 November 2026 · 17:30

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction

Nottingham Forest

22%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.2% chance

26%

draw

Manchester City

53%

away win

Win probability: home 22%, draw 26%, away 53%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Manchester City favourites to beat Nottingham Forest away from home in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Nottingham Forest a 22% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Manchester City 53%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Nottingham Forest and 1.7 from Manchester City, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Nottingham Forest keep a clean sheet in 17% of outcomes, Manchester City in 35%.

Nottingham Forest are 18th in the table with 6 points from 8 games; Manchester City are 1st with 21. In their last five league games Nottingham Forest took 4 points (WLLLD) and Manchester City took 12 (WWWWL). This season Nottingham Forest average 1.73 expected goals (xG) for and 1.10 against per game; Manchester City average 2.12 for and 1.30 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Nottingham Forest won 1, Manchester City won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Mar 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Nottingham Forest goalsColumns: Manchester City goals

1–112.2%

1–29.8%

0–19.6%

0–29.2%

0–07.0%

2–15.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

78%

3 or more goals

53%

4 or more goals

31%

5 or more goals

15%

Both teams score

55%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.06 for Nottingham Forest and 1.75 for Manchester City.

Winning margin

Explained

Nottingham Forest by 3

Nottingham Forest by 2

Nottingham Forest by 1

14%

Draw

26%

Manchester City by 3

Manchester City by 2

16%

Manchester City by 1

23%

Each team's goals

Explained

Nottingham Forest expected goals1.06

Manchester City expected goals1.75

Nottingham Forest keep a clean sheet17%

Manchester City keep a clean sheet35%

Nottingham Forest win without conceding10%

Manchester City win without conceding28%

Nottingham Forest score 2 or more29%

Manchester City score 2 or more52%

Recent form

Nottingham Forest

D @ Ipswich1–1 · 23 Oct

L v Arsenal0–1 · 18 Oct

L @ Crystal Palace1–3 · 11 Oct

L v Coventry0–1 · 19 Sep

W @ Aston Villa2–1 · 12 Sep

Manchester City

L @ Aston Villa1–2 · 24 Oct

W v Ipswich3–2 · 17 Oct

W @ Liverpool3–0 · 11 Oct

W v Sunderland5–3 · 20 Sep

W @ Manchester United1–0 · 13 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Nottingham Forest won 1, Manchester City won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Mar 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest4 Mar 2026

Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City27 Dec 2025

Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester City8 Mar 2025

Manchester City 3–0 Nottingham Forest4 Dec 2024

Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City28 Apr 2024

Manchester City 2–0 Nottingham Forest23 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

NFMC

0.75

Goals

2.50

1.25

Conceded

1.12

1.73

2.12

1.10

xG against

1.30

17.1

Shots

14.6

3.8

On target

5.5

4.8

Corners

5.8

2.12

Yellow cards

1.62

12%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Both score

62%

38%

3+ goals

75%

Questions and answers

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

GossipBall gives Nottingham Forest a 22% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Manchester City 53%. GossipBall makes Manchester City favourites to beat Nottingham Forest away from home.

What is the most likely score in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 0–2 (9%).

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Nottingham Forest and Manchester City score.

Will there be three or more goals in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.1 for Nottingham Forest, 1.7 for Manchester City).

When is Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Nottingham Forest won 1, Manchester City won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Mar 2026, was a 2–2 draw.