Aston Villa vs Brentford result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 26%, away 32%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2 in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Aston Villa 42%, the draw 26% and Brentford 32%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Aston Villa 2.28, Brentford 1.06, so Aston Villa created the better chances. Aston Villa had 20 shots (7 on target) to Brentford's 14 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AVBR
2.28Expected goals1.06
20Shots14
7On target4
2Corners2
7Fouls24
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: C Pawson
Recent form
Aston Villa
W @ Tottenham3–2 · 19 Sep
L v Nottingham Forest1–2 · 12 Sep
D @ Hull0–0 · 5 Sep
L v Arsenal0–1 · 31 Aug
L @ Brighton0–4 · 23 Aug
Brentford
W v Chelsea3–0 · 18 Sep
D @ Bournemouth2–2 · 12 Sep
D v Sunderland1–1 · 5 Sep
D @ Leeds1–1 · 30 Aug
W v Tottenham3–0 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 4, Brentford won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford, a win for Brentford.
Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford1 Feb 2026
Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa23 Aug 2025
Brentford 0–1 Aston Villa8 Mar 2025
Aston Villa 3–1 Brentford4 Dec 2024
Aston Villa 3–3 Brentford6 Apr 2024
Brentford 1–2 Aston Villa17 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
AVBR
1.12Goals1.75
1.50Conceded1.12
1.12xG1.68
1.61xG against1.48
11.4Shots14.9
3.0On target4.4
3.2Corners4.1
2.25Yellow cards2.62
25%Clean sheets25%
50%Both score75%
62%3+ goals62%