Leeds vs Newcastle United result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 39%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLeeds beat Newcastle United 4–1 at home in the Premier League on Monday 14 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Leeds 35%, the draw 27% and Newcastle United 39%, so a home win had a 35% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Leeds 1.91, Newcastle United 0.85, so Leeds created the better chances. Leeds had 15 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 7 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LENU
1.91Expected goals0.85
15Shots7
6On target5
5Corners5
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals0
Referee: M Salisbury
Recent form
Leeds
D @ Brighton1–1 · 5 Sep
D v Brentford1–1 · 30 Aug
W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 22 Aug
L @ West Ham0–3 · 24 May
W v Brighton1–0 · 17 May
Newcastle United
D v Bournemouth2–2 · 5 Sep
W @ Tottenham2–0 · 29 Aug
D v Liverpool2–2 · 23 Aug
L @ Fulham0–2 · 24 May
W v West Ham3–1 · 17 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Leeds won 0, Newcastle United won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Jan 2026, finished Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds, a win for Newcastle United.
Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds7 Jan 2026
Leeds 0–0 Newcastle United30 Aug 2025
Leeds 2–2 Newcastle United13 May 2023
Newcastle United 0–0 Leeds31 Dec 2022
Leeds 0–1 Newcastle United22 Jan 2022
Newcastle United 1–1 Leeds17 Sep 2021
Season averages per game
LENU
1.12Goals1.50
0.75Conceded1.75
1.30xG1.14
1.30xG against1.69
11.9Shots12.0
4.0On target3.4
4.1Corners4.5
1.88Yellow cards2.75
38%Clean sheets25%
62%Both score62%
25%3+ goals62%