Nottingham Forest vs Leeds result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 27%, away 28%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLeeds won 1–0 away at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Nottingham Forest 45%, the draw 27% and Leeds 28%, so an away win had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Nottingham Forest 0.66, Leeds 0.47, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Leeds's 11 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NFLE
0.66Expected goals0.47
12Shots11
2On target3
3Corners2
15Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: R Jones
Recent form
Nottingham Forest
D v Bournemouth1–1 · 24 May
L @ Manchester United2–3 · 17 May
D v Newcastle United1–1 · 10 May
W @ Chelsea3–1 · 4 May
W @ Sunderland5–0 · 24 Apr
Leeds
L @ West Ham0–3 · 24 May
W v Brighton1–0 · 17 May
D @ Tottenham1–1 · 11 May
W v Burnley3–1 · 1 May
D @ Bournemouth2–2 · 22 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Nottingham Forest won 2, Leeds won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Feb 2026, finished Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest, a win for Leeds.
Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest6 Feb 2026
Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds9 Nov 2025
Leeds 2–1 Nottingham Forest4 Apr 2023
Nottingham Forest 1–0 Leeds5 Feb 2023
Season averages per game
NFLE
0.75Goals1.12
1.25Conceded0.75
1.73xG1.30
1.10xG against1.30
17.1Shots11.9
3.8On target4.0
4.8Corners4.1
2.12Yellow cards1.88
12%Clean sheets38%
50%Both score62%
38%3+ goals25%