GOSSIPBALL
Premier LeagueSaturday 17 October 2026 ·

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa result and stats

43%
pre-match home win
0–1
full time
25%
draw
31%
pre-match away win
Win probability: home 43%, draw 25%, away 31%

Match report

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Aston Villa won 1–0 away at Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Newcastle United 43%, the draw 25% and Aston Villa 31%, so an away win had a 31% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.

On expected goals it finished Newcastle United 0.99, Aston Villa 1.57, so Aston Villa created the better chances. Newcastle United had 16 shots (1 on target) to Aston Villa's 15 (3 on target).

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Match stats

NUAV
0.99
Expected goals
1.57
16
Shots
15
1
On target
3
4
Corners
5
14
Fouls
11
6
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
1

Referee: J Gillett

Recent form

Newcastle United
L @ Coventry1–4 · 12 Oct
W v Hull2–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Leeds1–4 · 14 Sep
D v Bournemouth2–2 · 5 Sep
W @ Tottenham2–0 · 29 Aug
Aston Villa
D v Brentford2–2 · 10 Oct
W @ Tottenham3–2 · 19 Sep
L v Nottingham Forest1–2 · 12 Sep
D @ Hull0–0 · 5 Sep
L v Arsenal0–1 · 31 Aug

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Newcastle United won 5, Aston Villa won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa, a win for Aston Villa.

Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa25 Jan 2026
Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United16 Aug 2025
Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle United19 Apr 2025
Newcastle United 3–0 Aston Villa26 Dec 2024
Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle United30 Jan 2024
Newcastle United 5–1 Aston Villa12 Aug 2023

Season averages per game

NUAV
1.50
Goals
1.12
1.75
Conceded
1.50
1.14
xG
1.12
1.69
xG against
1.61
12.0
Shots
11.4
3.4
On target
3.0
4.5
Corners
3.2
2.75
Yellow cards
2.25
25%
Clean sheets
25%
62%
Both score
50%
62%
3+ goals
62%

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]