Newcastle United vs Liverpool result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 39%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNewcastle United and Liverpool drew 2–2 in the Premier League on Sunday 23 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Newcastle United 36%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 39%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Newcastle United 1.57, Liverpool 2.98, so Liverpool created the better chances. Newcastle United had 13 shots (4 on target) to Liverpool's 27 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NULI
1.57Expected goals2.98
13Shots27
4On target7
2Corners6
16Fouls15
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: S Attwell
Recent form
Newcastle United
L @ Fulham0–2 · 24 May
W v West Ham3–1 · 17 May
D @ Nottingham Forest1–1 · 10 May
W v Brighton3–1 · 2 May
L @ Arsenal0–1 · 25 Apr
Liverpool
D v Brentford1–1 · 24 May
L @ Aston Villa2–4 · 15 May
D v Chelsea1–1 · 9 May
L @ Manchester United2–3 · 3 May
W v Crystal Palace3–1 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Newcastle United won 0, Liverpool won 9 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle United, a win for Liverpool.
Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle United31 Jan 2026
Newcastle United 2–3 Liverpool25 Aug 2025
Liverpool 2–0 Newcastle United26 Feb 2025
Newcastle United 3–3 Liverpool4 Dec 2024
Liverpool 4–2 Newcastle United1 Jan 2024
Newcastle United 1–2 Liverpool27 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
NULI
1.50Goals1.38
1.75Conceded1.00
1.14xG1.51
1.69xG against1.20
12.0Shots15.4
3.4On target4.9
4.5Corners4.8
2.75Yellow cards2.38
25%Clean sheets50%
62%Both score38%
62%3+ goals50%