Leeds vs Manchester United result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 37%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLeeds and Manchester United drew 1–1 in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Leeds 35%, the draw 27% and Manchester United 37%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Leeds 1.41, Manchester United 0.92, so Leeds created the better chances. Leeds had 12 shots (5 on target) to Manchester United's 13 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LEMU
1.41Expected goals0.92
12Shots13
5On target3
2Corners3
16Fouls5
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: D England
Recent form
Leeds
L @ Arsenal1–2 · 10 Oct
D v Crystal Palace0–0 · 20 Sep
W v Newcastle United4–1 · 14 Sep
D @ Brighton1–1 · 5 Sep
D v Brentford1–1 · 30 Aug
Manchester United
D v Tottenham1–1 · 10 Oct
D @ Fulham1–1 · 20 Sep
L v Manchester City0–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Everton2–2 · 6 Sep
W v Ipswich5–2 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Leeds won 1, Manchester United won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Apr 2026, finished Manchester United 1–2 Leeds, a win for Leeds.
Manchester United 1–2 Leeds13 Apr 2026
Leeds 1–1 Manchester United4 Jan 2026
Leeds 0–2 Manchester United12 Feb 2023
Manchester United 2–2 Leeds8 Feb 2023
Leeds 2–4 Manchester United20 Feb 2022
Manchester United 5–1 Leeds14 Aug 2021
Season averages per game
LEMU
1.12Goals1.25
0.75Conceded1.62
1.30xG1.57
1.30xG against1.49
11.9Shots19.4
4.0On target5.0
4.1Corners6.0
1.88Yellow cards2.00
38%Clean sheets0%
62%Both score62%
25%3+ goals38%