Newcastle United vs Everton prediction
Match preview
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Newcastle United favourites to beat Everton at home in the Premier League on Monday 2 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Newcastle United a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Everton 25%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Newcastle United and 1.1 from Everton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Newcastle United keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Everton in 21%.
Newcastle United are 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Everton are 11th with 10. In their last five league games Newcastle United took 6 points (LWLLW) and Everton took 5 (DWDLL). This season Newcastle United average 1.14 expected goals (xG) for and 1.69 against per game; Everton average 1.26 for and 1.46 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2022, Newcastle United won 4, Everton won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Newcastle United 2–3 Everton, a win for Everton.
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGoals
ExplainedGOSSIPBALL expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.56 for Newcastle United and 1.09 for Everton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2022, Newcastle United won 4, Everton won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Newcastle United 2–3 Everton, a win for Everton.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Newcastle United vs Everton?
GossipBall gives Newcastle United a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Everton 25%. GossipBall makes Newcastle United favourites to beat Everton at home.
What is the most likely score in Newcastle United vs Everton?
The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Everton?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Newcastle United and Everton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Newcastle United vs Everton?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Newcastle United, 1.1 for Everton).
When is Newcastle United vs Everton?
Kick-off is Monday 2 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle United and Everton?
In 10 league meetings since 2022, Newcastle United won 4, Everton won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Newcastle United 2–3 Everton, a win for Everton.