GOSSIPBALL
Premier LeagueMatchday 9Saturday 31 October 2026 ·

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction

44%
home win
likeliest score
1–1
12.8% chance
27%
draw
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Brentford slight favourites to beat Nottingham Forest at home in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Brentford a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Nottingham Forest 29%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Brentford and 1.2 from Nottingham Forest, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Brentford keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Nottingham Forest in 21%.

Brentford are 6th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Nottingham Forest are 18th with 6. In their last five league games Brentford took 6 points (DWDLD) and Nottingham Forest took 4 (WLLLD). This season Brentford average 1.68 expected goals (xG) for and 1.48 against per game; Nottingham Forest average 1.73 for and 1.10 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Brentford won 3, Nottingham Forest won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest, a win for Nottingham Forest.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
6
5
2
<1
<1
1
9
13
7
3
<1
<1
2
8
9
6
2
<1
<1
3
4
5
3
1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Brentford goalsColumns: Nottingham Forest goals
1–112.8%
2–19.2%
1–08.6%
2–07.5%
1–27.2%
0–07.1%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
53%
4 or more goals
31%
5 or more goals
15%
Both teams score
57%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.57 for Brentford and 1.22 for Nottingham Forest.

Winning margin

Explained
Brentford by 3
6%
Brentford by 2
14%
Brentford by 1
21%
Draw
27%
Nottingham Forest by 3
3%
Nottingham Forest by 2
8%
Nottingham Forest by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Brentford expected goals1.57
Nottingham Forest expected goals1.22
Brentford keep a clean sheet29%
Nottingham Forest keep a clean sheet21%
Brentford win without conceding22%
Nottingham Forest win without conceding14%
Brentford score 2 or more47%
Nottingham Forest score 2 or more35%

Recent form

Brentford
D @ Hull1–1 · 25 Oct
L v Liverpool1–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Aston Villa2–2 · 10 Oct
W v Chelsea3–0 · 18 Sep
D @ Bournemouth2–2 · 12 Sep
Nottingham Forest
D @ Ipswich1–1 · 23 Oct
L v Arsenal0–1 · 18 Oct
L @ Crystal Palace1–3 · 11 Oct
L v Coventry0–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Aston Villa2–1 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Brentford won 3, Nottingham Forest won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest, a win for Nottingham Forest.

Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest25 Jan 2026
Nottingham Forest 3–1 Brentford17 Aug 2025
Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brentford1 May 2025
Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest21 Dec 2024
Brentford 3–2 Nottingham Forest20 Jan 2024
Nottingham Forest 1–1 Brentford1 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

BRNF
1.75
Goals
0.75
1.12
Conceded
1.25
1.68
xG
1.73
1.48
xG against
1.10
14.9
Shots
17.1
4.4
On target
3.8
4.1
Corners
4.8
2.62
Yellow cards
2.12
25%
Clean sheets
12%
75%
Both score
50%
62%
3+ goals
38%

Questions and answers

Who will win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

GossipBall gives Brentford a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nottingham Forest 29%. GossipBall makes Brentford slight favourites to beat Nottingham Forest at home.

What is the most likely score in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Brentford and Nottingham Forest score.

Will there be three or more goals in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.6 for Brentford, 1.2 for Nottingham Forest).

When is Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Nottingham Forest?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Brentford won 3, Nottingham Forest won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest, a win for Nottingham Forest.

GOSSIPBALL is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]