Premier LeagueMatchday 10Saturday 7 November 2026 · 12:30

Leeds vs Tottenham prediction

Leeds

44%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.9% chance

27%

draw

Tottenham

29%

away win

Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Leeds slight favourites to beat Tottenham at home in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Leeds a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Tottenham 29%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Leeds and 1.2 from Tottenham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Leeds keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Tottenham in 21%.

Leeds are 7th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Tottenham are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Leeds took 6 points (WDLDD) and Tottenham took 8 (DLDWW). This season Leeds average 1.30 expected goals (xG) for and 1.30 against per game; Tottenham average 1.02 for and 1.24 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Leeds won 0, Tottenham won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Leeds goalsColumns: Tottenham goals

1–112.9%

2–19.2%

1–08.6%

2–07.5%

1–27.3%

0–07.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

77%

3 or more goals

52%

4 or more goals

30%

5 or more goals

15%

Both teams score

57%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.55 for Leeds and 1.23 for Tottenham.

Winning margin

Explained

Leeds by 3

Leeds by 2

13%

Leeds by 1

21%

Draw

27%

Tottenham by 3

Tottenham by 2

Tottenham by 1

17%

Each team's goals

Explained

Leeds expected goals1.55

Tottenham expected goals1.23

Leeds keep a clean sheet29%

Tottenham keep a clean sheet21%

Leeds win without conceding22%

Tottenham win without conceding14%

Leeds score 2 or more46%

Tottenham score 2 or more35%

Recent form

Leeds

D @ Sunderland0–0 · 25 Oct

D v Manchester United1–1 · 18 Oct

L @ Arsenal1–2 · 10 Oct

D v Crystal Palace0–0 · 20 Sep

W v Newcastle United4–1 · 14 Sep

Tottenham

W @ Chelsea2–0 · 24 Oct

W v Coventry3–1 · 19 Oct

D @ Manchester United1–1 · 10 Oct

L v Aston Villa2–3 · 19 Sep

D v Everton0–0 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Leeds won 0, Tottenham won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Tottenham 1–1 Leeds11 May 2026

Leeds 1–2 Tottenham4 Oct 2025

Leeds 1–4 Tottenham28 May 2023

Tottenham 4–3 Leeds12 Nov 2022

Leeds 0–4 Tottenham26 Feb 2022

Tottenham 2–1 Leeds21 Nov 2021

Season averages per game

LETO

1.12

Goals

1.00

0.75

Conceded

1.25

1.30

1.02

1.30

xG against

1.24

11.9

Shots

14.2

4.0

On target

3.9

4.1

Corners

6.5

1.88

Yellow cards

1.50

38%

Clean sheets

38%

62%

Both score

38%

25%

3+ goals

38%

Questions and answers

Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?

GossipBall gives Leeds a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tottenham 29%. GossipBall makes Leeds slight favourites to beat Tottenham at home.

What is the most likely score in Leeds vs Tottenham?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Leeds vs Tottenham?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Leeds and Tottenham score.

Will there be three or more goals in Leeds vs Tottenham?

There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.5 for Leeds, 1.2 for Tottenham).

When is Leeds vs Tottenham?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Tottenham?

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Leeds won 0, Tottenham won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.