Premier LeagueMatchday 9Saturday 31 October 2026 · 17:30

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction

Tottenham

44%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.7% chance

27%

draw

Crystal Palace

29%

away win

Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Tottenham slight favourites to beat Crystal Palace at home in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Tottenham a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Crystal Palace 29%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Tottenham and 1.2 from Crystal Palace, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Tottenham keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Crystal Palace in 21%.

Tottenham are 14th in the table with 9 points from 8 games; Crystal Palace are 17th with 7. In their last five league games Tottenham took 8 points (DLDWW) and Crystal Palace took 4 (LDWLL). This season Tottenham average 1.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Crystal Palace average 1.38 for and 1.97 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Tottenham won 6, Crystal Palace won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Mar 2026, finished Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace, a win for Crystal Palace.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Tottenham goalsColumns: Crystal Palace goals

1–112.7%

2–19.2%

1–08.5%

2–07.5%

1–27.2%

0–07.0%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

78%

3 or more goals

53%

4 or more goals

31%

5 or more goals

15%

Both teams score

57%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.57 for Tottenham and 1.23 for Crystal Palace.

Winning margin

Explained

Tottenham by 3

Tottenham by 2

14%

Tottenham by 1

21%

Draw

27%

Crystal Palace by 3

Crystal Palace by 2

Crystal Palace by 1

16%

Each team's goals

Explained

Tottenham expected goals1.57

Crystal Palace expected goals1.23

Tottenham keep a clean sheet29%

Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet21%

Tottenham win without conceding22%

Crystal Palace win without conceding14%

Tottenham score 2 or more47%

Crystal Palace score 2 or more35%

Recent form

Tottenham

W @ Chelsea2–0 · 24 Oct

W v Coventry3–1 · 19 Oct

D @ Manchester United1–1 · 10 Oct

L v Aston Villa2–3 · 19 Sep

D v Everton0–0 · 12 Sep

Crystal Palace

L v Newcastle United0–2 · 25 Oct

L @ Brighton0–5 · 18 Oct

W v Nottingham Forest3–1 · 11 Oct

D @ Leeds0–0 · 20 Sep

L v Ipswich2–3 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Tottenham won 6, Crystal Palace won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Mar 2026, finished Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace, a win for Crystal Palace.

Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace5 Mar 2026

Crystal Palace 0–1 Tottenham28 Dec 2025

Tottenham 0–2 Crystal Palace11 May 2025

Crystal Palace 1–0 Tottenham27 Oct 2024

Tottenham 3–1 Crystal Palace2 Mar 2024

Crystal Palace 1–2 Tottenham27 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

TOCP

1.00

Goals

1.12

1.25

Conceded

2.38

1.02

1.38

1.24

xG against

1.97

14.2

Shots

11.0

3.9

On target

3.8

6.5

Corners

3.6

1.50

Yellow cards

1.50

38%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Both score

50%

38%

3+ goals

62%

Questions and answers

Who will win Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

GossipBall gives Tottenham a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Crystal Palace 29%. GossipBall makes Tottenham slight favourites to beat Crystal Palace at home.

What is the most likely score in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Tottenham and Crystal Palace score.

Will there be three or more goals in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.6 for Tottenham, 1.2 for Crystal Palace).

When is Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Crystal Palace?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Tottenham won 6, Crystal Palace won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Mar 2026, finished Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace, a win for Crystal Palace.