Premier LeagueMatchday 10Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00

Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction

Fulham

37%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.8% chance

27%

draw

Newcastle United

36%

away win

Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 36%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Fulham against Newcastle United as too close to call in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Fulham a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Newcastle United 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Fulham and 1.4 from Newcastle United, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Fulham keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Newcastle United in 24%.

Fulham are 15th in the table with 8 points from 8 games; Newcastle United are 8th with 11. In their last five league games Fulham took 8 points (DDLWW) and Newcastle United took 6 (LWLLW). This season Fulham average 1.44 expected goals (xG) for and 1.30 against per game; Newcastle United average 1.14 for and 1.69 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 3, Newcastle United won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Fulham 2–0 Newcastle United, a win for Fulham.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Fulham goalsColumns: Newcastle United goals

1–112.8%

2–18.4%

1–28.3%

1–07.4%

0–17.3%

0–06.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

78%

3 or more goals

54%

4 or more goals

32%

5 or more goals

16%

Both teams score

58%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.43 for Fulham and 1.41 for Newcastle United.

Winning margin

Explained

Fulham by 3

Fulham by 2

11%

Fulham by 1

19%

Draw

27%

Newcastle United by 3

Newcastle United by 2

11%

Newcastle United by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Fulham expected goals1.43

Newcastle United expected goals1.41

Fulham keep a clean sheet24%

Newcastle United keep a clean sheet24%

Fulham win without conceding18%

Newcastle United win without conceding17%

Fulham score 2 or more42%

Newcastle United score 2 or more41%

Recent form

Fulham

W @ Coventry1–0 · 24 Oct

W v Hull1–0 · 17 Oct

L @ Ipswich1–2 · 10 Oct

D v Manchester United1–1 · 20 Sep

D @ Liverpool0–0 · 12 Sep

Newcastle United

W @ Crystal Palace2–0 · 25 Oct

L v Aston Villa0–1 · 17 Oct

L @ Coventry1–4 · 12 Oct

W v Hull2–1 · 19 Sep

L @ Leeds1–4 · 14 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 3, Newcastle United won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Fulham 2–0 Newcastle United, a win for Fulham.

Fulham 2–0 Newcastle United24 May 2026

Newcastle United 2–1 Fulham25 Oct 2025

Newcastle United 1–2 Fulham1 Feb 2025

Fulham 3–1 Newcastle United21 Sep 2024

Fulham 0–1 Newcastle United6 Apr 2024

Newcastle United 3–0 Fulham16 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

FUNU

1.00

Goals

1.50

1.25

Conceded

1.75

1.44

1.14

1.30

xG against

1.69

14.4

Shots

12.0

4.5

On target

3.4

6.1

Corners

4.5

2.00

Yellow cards

2.75

38%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Both score

62%

38%

3+ goals

62%

Questions and answers

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle United?

GossipBall gives Fulham a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Newcastle United 36%. GossipBall sees Fulham against Newcastle United as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Fulham vs Newcastle United?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Newcastle United?

GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Fulham and Newcastle United score.

Will there be three or more goals in Fulham vs Newcastle United?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.4 for Fulham, 1.4 for Newcastle United).

When is Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Newcastle United?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 3, Newcastle United won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Fulham 2–0 Newcastle United, a win for Fulham.