Premier LeagueMatchday 9Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00

Coventry vs Sunderland prediction

Coventry

32%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

14.6% chance

32%

draw

Sunderland

36%

away win

Win probability: home 32%, draw 32%, away 36%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Coventry against Sunderland as too close to call in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Coventry a 32% chance of winning, puts the draw at 32% and gives Sunderland 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Coventry and 1.1 from Sunderland, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 37% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (15%). Coventry keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Sunderland in 35%.

Coventry are 19th in the table with 6 points from 8 games; Sunderland are 20th with 5. In their last five league games Coventry took 6 points (LWWLL) and Sunderland took 1 (LLLLD). This season Coventry average 0.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.49 against per game; Sunderland average 1.42 for and 1.88 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Coventry goalsColumns: Sunderland goals

1–114.6%

0–012.4%

0–111.5%

1–010.7%

1–27.6%

0–27.1%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

88%

2 or more goals

65%

3 or more goals

37%

4 or more goals

18%

5 or more goals

Both teams score

45%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.06 for Coventry and 1.13 for Sunderland.

Winning margin

Explained

Coventry by 3

Coventry by 2

Coventry by 1

19%

Draw

32%

Sunderland by 3

Sunderland by 2

10%

Sunderland by 1

21%

Each team's goals

Explained

Coventry expected goals1.06

Sunderland expected goals1.13

Coventry keep a clean sheet32%

Sunderland keep a clean sheet35%

Coventry win without conceding20%

Sunderland win without conceding22%

Coventry score 2 or more29%

Sunderland score 2 or more31%

Recent form

Coventry

L v Fulham0–1 · 24 Oct

L @ Tottenham1–3 · 19 Oct

W v Newcastle United4–1 · 12 Oct

W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 19 Sep

L v Brighton0–5 · 13 Sep

Sunderland

D v Leeds0–0 · 25 Oct

L @ Bournemouth0–2 · 18 Oct

L v Brighton0–2 · 10 Oct

L @ Manchester City3–5 · 20 Sep

L v Arsenal0–2 · 12 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

COSU

0.75

Goals

0.75

1.88

Conceded

1.75

0.95

1.42

1.49

xG against

1.88

10.6

Shots

12.0

3.1

On target

4.0

3.8

Corners

4.2

1.00

Yellow cards

1.88

12%

Clean sheets

25%

Both score

38%

50%

3+ goals

25%

Questions and answers

Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?

GossipBall gives Coventry a 32% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sunderland 36%. GossipBall sees Coventry against Sunderland as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Coventry vs Sunderland?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 15% chance. The next most likely are 0–0 (12%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Coventry vs Sunderland?

GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Coventry and Sunderland score.

Will there be three or more goals in Coventry vs Sunderland?

There is a 37% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.1 for Coventry, 1.1 for Sunderland).

When is Coventry vs Sunderland?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC.