Premier LeagueMatchday 10Sunday 8 November 2026 · 14:00

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction

Crystal Palace

25%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.0% chance

25%

draw

Liverpool

50%

away win

Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Crystal Palace away from home in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Crystal Palace a 25% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Liverpool 50%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.7 from Liverpool, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet in 17% of outcomes, Liverpool in 31%.

Crystal Palace are 17th in the table with 7 points from 8 games; Liverpool are 4th with 15. In their last five league games Crystal Palace took 4 points (LDWLL) and Liverpool took 10 (DWLWW). This season Crystal Palace average 1.38 expected goals (xG) for and 1.97 against per game; Liverpool average 1.51 for and 1.20 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace, a win for Liverpool.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Crystal Palace goalsColumns: Liverpool goals

1–112.0%

1–29.6%

0–18.3%

0–28.1%

2–16.5%

0–06.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

80%

3 or more goals

56%

4 or more goals

34%

5 or more goals

17%

Both teams score

58%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.19 for Crystal Palace and 1.75 for Liverpool.

Winning margin

Explained

Crystal Palace by 3

Crystal Palace by 2

Crystal Palace by 1

15%

Draw

25%

Liverpool by 3

Liverpool by 2

15%

Liverpool by 1

22%

Each team's goals

Explained

Crystal Palace expected goals1.19

Liverpool expected goals1.75

Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet17%

Liverpool keep a clean sheet31%

Crystal Palace win without conceding11%

Liverpool win without conceding24%

Crystal Palace score 2 or more33%

Liverpool score 2 or more52%

Recent form

Crystal Palace

L v Newcastle United0–2 · 25 Oct

L @ Brighton0–5 · 18 Oct

W v Nottingham Forest3–1 · 11 Oct

D @ Leeds0–0 · 20 Sep

L v Ipswich2–3 · 12 Sep

Liverpool

W v Brighton2–0 · 25 Oct

W @ Brentford2–1 · 17 Oct

L v Manchester City0–3 · 11 Oct

W @ Bournemouth1–0 · 20 Sep

D v Fulham0–0 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace, a win for Liverpool.

Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace25 Apr 2026

Crystal Palace 2–1 Liverpool27 Sep 2025

Liverpool 1–1 Crystal Palace25 May 2025

Crystal Palace 0–1 Liverpool5 Oct 2024

Liverpool 0–1 Crystal Palace14 Apr 2024

Crystal Palace 1–2 Liverpool9 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

CPLI

1.12

Goals

1.38

2.38

Conceded

1.00

1.38

1.51

1.97

xG against

1.20

11.0

Shots

15.4

3.8

On target

4.9

3.6

Corners

4.8

1.50

Yellow cards

2.38

12%

Clean sheets

50%

Both score

38%

62%

3+ goals

50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

GossipBall gives Crystal Palace a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Liverpool 50%. GossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Crystal Palace away from home.

What is the most likely score in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Crystal Palace and Liverpool score.

Will there be three or more goals in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.2 for Crystal Palace, 1.7 for Liverpool).

When is Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Liverpool?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace, a win for Liverpool.