Premier LeagueMatchday 10Friday 6 November 2026 · 20:00

Everton vs Coventry prediction

Everton

47%

home win

likeliest score

1–0

14.2% chance

30%

draw

Coventry

22%

away win

Win probability: home 47%, draw 30%, away 22%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Everton favourites to beat Coventry at home in the Premier League on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Everton a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Coventry 22%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Everton and 0.8 from Coventry, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 37% chance of three or more goals and a 43% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–0 (14%). Everton keep a clean sheet in 44% of outcomes, Coventry in 26%.

Everton are 11th in the table with 10 points from 8 games; Coventry are 19th with 6. In their last five league games Everton took 5 points (DWDLL) and Coventry took 6 (LWWLL). This season Everton average 1.26 expected goals (xG) for and 1.46 against per game; Coventry average 0.95 for and 1.49 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Everton goalsColumns: Coventry goals

1–014.2%

1–113.8%

0–012.6%

2–010.2%

2–18.5%

0–18.4%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

87%

2 or more goals

65%

3 or more goals

37%

4 or more goals

17%

5 or more goals

Both teams score

43%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.33 for Everton and 0.83 for Coventry.

Winning margin

Explained

Everton by 3

Everton by 2

15%

Everton by 1

24%

Draw

30%

Coventry by 3

Coventry by 2

Coventry by 1

15%

Each team's goals

Explained

Everton expected goals1.33

Coventry expected goals0.83

Everton keep a clean sheet44%

Coventry keep a clean sheet26%

Everton win without conceding31%

Coventry win without conceding14%

Everton score 2 or more39%

Coventry score 2 or more20%

Recent form

Everton

L @ Arsenal0–2 · 24 Oct

L v Chelsea0–2 · 17 Oct

D @ Hull2–2 · 11 Oct

W v Ipswich1–0 · 19 Sep

D @ Tottenham0–0 · 12 Sep

Coventry

L v Fulham0–1 · 24 Oct

L @ Tottenham1–3 · 19 Oct

W v Newcastle United4–1 · 12 Oct

W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 19 Sep

L v Brighton0–5 · 13 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

EVCO

1.00

Goals

0.75

1.12

Conceded

1.88

1.26

0.95

1.46

xG against

1.49

13.6

Shots

10.6

4.8

On target

3.1

4.9

Corners

3.8

1.88

Yellow cards

1.00

38%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Both score

25%

3+ goals

50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Everton vs Coventry?

GossipBall gives Everton a 47% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Coventry 22%. GossipBall makes Everton favourites to beat Coventry at home.

What is the most likely score in Everton vs Coventry?

The likeliest single score is 1–0, with a 14% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (14%), 0–0 (13%), 2–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Everton vs Coventry?

GossipBall gives a 43% chance that both Everton and Coventry score.

Will there be three or more goals in Everton vs Coventry?

There is a 37% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.3 for Everton, 0.8 for Coventry).

When is Everton vs Coventry?

Kick-off is Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.