Bolton vs Stoke result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 32%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersStoke won 2–1 away at Bolton in the Championship on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Bolton 40%, the draw 27% and Stoke 32%, so an away win had a 32% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Bolton 3.13, Stoke 0.74, so Bolton created the better chances. Bolton had 30 shots (5 on target) to Stoke's 9 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BOST
3.13Expected goals0.74
30Shots9
5On target4
10Corners4
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Referee: T Kirk
Recent form
Bolton
W @ Norwich4–3 · 20 Sep
W v Cardiff1–0 · 12 Sep
L v West Ham2–3 · 8 Sep
L @ Millwall0–4 · 5 Sep
L @ Sheffield United2–3 · 1 Sep
Stoke
W v Sheffield United2–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Watford2–1 · 12 Sep
D @ Cardiff1–1 · 8 Sep
W v Charlton4–0 · 5 Sep
W v Norwich1–0 · 1 Sep
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
BOST
1.33Goals1.50
1.92Conceded1.33
1.36xG0.92
1.91xG against1.61
13.7Shots11.3
4.7On target3.5
5.1Corners4.4
1.67Yellow cards2.00
25%Clean sheets33%
58%Both score67%
67%3+ goals67%