Stoke
Stoke are 9th in the Championship with 20 points from 12 games (6 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats), having scored 18 and conceded 16.
They average 0.92 expected goals for and 1.61 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 20th of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Stoke to finish with about 59 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 1% of a top-four finish and 6% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Preston on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Stoke a 43% chance of winning.
20 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank
0.92xG per game
1.61xG against per game
33%clean sheets
59.1expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Stoke
Preston
Win probability: home 43%, draw 29%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Blackburn vs Stoke prediction (Championship):
Blackburn
Stoke
Win probability: home 41%, draw 30%, away 28%
Likeliest score 1–1
Portsmouth vs Stoke prediction (Championship):
Portsmouth
Stoke
Win probability: home 44%, draw 29%, away 28%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Stoke0
Bristol City0
Upset
Win probability: home 36%, draw 29%, away 35%
1.1–0.8match xG
Derby 0–1 Stoke result and stats:
17 Oct
Derby0
Stoke1
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 28%, away 26%
1.0–0.6match xG
Stoke 2–3 Middlesbrough result and stats:
13 Oct
Stoke2
Middlesbrough3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
0.7–2.6match xG
Bolton 1–2 Stoke result and stats:
10 Oct
Bolton1
Stoke2
Upset
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 32%
3.1–0.7match xG
Stoke 2–1 Sheffield United result and stats:
19 Sep
Stoke2
Sheffield United1
Upset
Win probability: home 33%, draw 28%, away 38%
0.5–0.5match xG
Watford 1–2 Stoke result and stats:
12 Sep
Watford1
Stoke2
Upset
Win probability: home 42%, draw 29%, away 29%
0.4–1.5match xG
Cardiff 1–1 Stoke result and stats:
8 Sep
Cardiff1
Stoke1
Upset
Win probability: home 38%, draw 29%, away 33%
3.6–1.1match xG
Stoke 4–0 Charlton result and stats:
5 Sep
Stoke4
Charlton0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 40%, draw 32%, away 28%
2.1–0.6match xG
Stoke 1–0 Norwich result and stats:
1 Sep
Stoke1
Norwich0
Upset
Win probability: home 34%, draw 28%, away 39%
0.2–1.2match xG
Wolves 4–1 Stoke result and stats:
29 Aug
Wolves4
Stoke1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 64%, draw 21%, away 16%
2.6–0.9match xG
Southampton 3–1 Stoke result and stats:
22 Aug
Southampton3
Stoke1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 63%, draw 21%, away 16%
2.3–0.9match xG
Stoke 1–2 Swansea result and stats:
15 Aug
Stoke1
Swansea2
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 29%, away 34%
0.7–0.6match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.50
Goals conceded1.33
Expected goals (xG)0.92
xG against1.61
Shots11.3
Shots on target3.5
Shots on target against4.5
Conversion (goals per shot on target)43%
Corners4.4
Fouls13.2
Yellow cards2.00
Red cards0.17
Clean sheets33%
Both teams scored67%
3 or more goals67%
Failed to score8%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)-0.17
Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.00
Overall-0.17