Stoke vs Swansea result and stats
Win probability: home 37%, draw 29%, away 34%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSwansea won 2–1 away at Stoke in the Championship on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Stoke 37%, the draw 29% and Swansea 34%, so an away win had a 34% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Stoke 0.65, Swansea 0.62, so Stoke created the better chances. Stoke had 6 shots (2 on target) to Swansea's 7 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
STSW
0.65Expected goals0.62
6Shots7
2On target3
4Corners5
14Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: O Langford
Recent form
Stoke
L @ Bristol City0–2 · 2 May
L v Portsmouth1–3 · 25 Apr
L v Millwall1–3 · 21 Apr
L @ Wrexham0–2 · 18 Apr
D v Blackburn1–1 · 11 Apr
Swansea
W v Charlton3–1 · 2 May
D @ Norwich1–1 · 25 Apr
W @ QPR2–1 · 21 Apr
L v Southampton1–2 · 18 Apr
W @ Leicester1–0 · 11 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 5, Swansea won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Swansea 2–0 Stoke, a win for Swansea.
Swansea 2–0 Stoke7 Mar 2026
Stoke 2–1 Swansea13 Dec 2025
Stoke 3–1 Swansea15 Feb 2025
Swansea 0–0 Stoke5 Oct 2024
Swansea 3–0 Stoke10 Apr 2024
Stoke 1–1 Swansea12 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
STSW
1.50Goals1.33
1.33Conceded1.08
0.92xG1.51
1.61xG against1.35
11.3Shots11.8
3.5On target4.3
4.4Corners4.3
2.00Yellow cards1.67
33%Clean sheets42%
67%Both score42%
67%3+ goals58%