Cardiff vs Stoke result and stats
Win probability: home 38%, draw 29%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCardiff and Stoke drew 1–1 in the Championship on Tuesday 8 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Cardiff 38%, the draw 29% and Stoke 33%, so a draw had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Cardiff 3.61, Stoke 1.11, so Cardiff created the better chances. Cardiff had 26 shots (7 on target) to Stoke's 12 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CAST
3.61Expected goals1.11
26Shots12
7On target4
7Corners5
5Fouls19
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: S Allison
Recent form
Cardiff
L @ Portsmouth0–2 · 5 Sep
L @ QPR1–2 · 2 Sep
D v Sheffield United2–2 · 29 Aug
D @ Derby2–2 · 22 Aug
D v Wrexham1–1 · 17 Aug
Stoke
W v Charlton4–0 · 5 Sep
W v Norwich1–0 · 1 Sep
L @ Wolves1–4 · 29 Aug
L @ Southampton1–3 · 22 Aug
L v Swansea1–2 · 15 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cardiff won 2, Stoke won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2025, finished Cardiff 0–1 Stoke, a win for Stoke.
Cardiff 0–1 Stoke12 Apr 2025
Stoke 2–2 Cardiff14 Dec 2024
Cardiff 2–1 Stoke24 Feb 2024
Stoke 0–0 Cardiff4 Nov 2023
Cardiff 1–1 Stoke22 Apr 2023
Stoke 2–2 Cardiff10 Dec 2022
Season averages per game
CAST
1.58Goals1.50
1.42Conceded1.33
1.93xG0.92
1.67xG against1.61
17.1Shots11.3
5.9On target3.5
6.8Corners4.4
1.75Yellow cards2.00
8%Clean sheets33%
75%Both score67%
58%3+ goals67%