ChampionshipMatchday 13Saturday 31 October 2026 · 12:30

Stoke vs Preston prediction

Stoke

43%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

13.4% chance

29%

draw

Preston

29%

away win

Win probability: home 43%, draw 29%, away 29%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Stoke slight favourites to beat Preston at home in the Championship on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Stoke a 43% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Preston 29%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Stoke and 1.0 from Preston, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 42% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Stoke keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Preston in 27%.

Stoke are 9th in the table with 20 points from 12 games; Preston are 24th with 5. In their last five league games Stoke took 10 points (WWLWD) and Preston took 2 (DLLLD). This season Stoke average 0.92 expected goals (xG) for and 1.61 against per game; Preston average 1.24 for and 1.48 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, Preston won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Preston 3–1 Stoke, a win for Preston.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Stoke goalsColumns: Preston goals

1–113.4%

1–012.0%

0–09.9%

0–19.3%

2–18.6%

2–08.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

90%

2 or more goals

69%

3 or more goals

42%

4 or more goals

21%

5 or more goals

Both teams score

48%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.32 for Stoke and 1.04 for Preston.

Winning margin

Explained

Stoke by 3

Stoke by 2

13%

Stoke by 1

23%

Draw

29%

Preston by 3

Preston by 2

Preston by 1

18%

Each team's goals

Explained

Stoke expected goals1.32

Preston expected goals1.04

Stoke keep a clean sheet35%

Preston keep a clean sheet27%

Stoke win without conceding26%

Preston win without conceding17%

Stoke score 2 or more38%

Preston score 2 or more28%

Recent form

Stoke

D v Bristol City0–0 · 24 Oct

W @ Derby1–0 · 17 Oct

L v Middlesbrough2–3 · 13 Oct

W @ Bolton2–1 · 10 Oct

W v Sheffield United2–1 · 19 Sep

Preston

D v West Brom1–1 · 24 Oct

L @ Wrexham1–4 · 17 Oct

L @ Birmingham0–4 · 13 Oct

L v Millwall0–1 · 10 Oct

D @ QPR2–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, Preston won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Preston 3–1 Stoke, a win for Preston.

Preston 3–1 Stoke20 Mar 2026

Stoke 0–0 Preston26 Dec 2025

Preston 1–1 Stoke5 Apr 2025

Stoke 0–0 Preston26 Nov 2024

Preston 1–2 Stoke9 Mar 2024

Stoke 0–2 Preston2 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

STPR

1.50

Goals

0.83

1.33

Conceded

2.08

0.92

1.24

1.61

xG against

1.48

11.3

Shots

12.6

3.5

On target

2.7

4.4

Corners

4.8

2.00

Yellow cards

2.25

33%

Clean sheets

67%

Both score

67%

3+ goals

67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Stoke vs Preston?

GossipBall gives Stoke a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Preston 29%. GossipBall makes Stoke slight favourites to beat Preston at home.

What is the most likely score in Stoke vs Preston?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Stoke vs Preston?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Stoke and Preston score.

Will there be three or more goals in Stoke vs Preston?

There is a 42% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.3 for Stoke, 1.0 for Preston).

When is Stoke vs Preston?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Stoke and Preston?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, Preston won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Preston 3–1 Stoke, a win for Preston.