Watford vs Stoke result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 29%, away 29%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersStoke won 2–1 away at Watford in the Championship on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Watford 42%, the draw 29% and Stoke 29%, so an away win had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Watford 0.39, Stoke 1.50, so Stoke created the better chances. Watford had 6 shots (2 on target) to Stoke's 18 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WAST
0.39Expected goals1.50
6Shots18
2On target6
5Corners8
14Fouls6
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: L Smith
Recent form
Watford
W v Preston2–1 · 8 Sep
L @ West Brom0–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Swansea0–2 · 1 Sep
D v West Ham1–1 · 29 Aug
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 22 Aug
Stoke
D @ Cardiff1–1 · 8 Sep
W v Charlton4–0 · 5 Sep
W v Norwich1–0 · 1 Sep
L @ Wolves1–4 · 29 Aug
L @ Southampton1–3 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 4, Stoke won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Stoke 3–1 Watford, a win for Stoke.
Stoke 3–1 Watford14 Mar 2026
Watford 1–0 Stoke20 Dec 2025
Stoke 0–0 Watford1 Mar 2025
Watford 3–0 Stoke17 Aug 2024
Watford 1–1 Stoke29 Dec 2023
Stoke 1–0 Watford19 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
WAST
0.83Goals1.50
1.67Conceded1.33
1.03xG0.92
1.89xG against1.61
12.2Shots11.3
4.0On target3.5
3.5Corners4.4
2.75Yellow cards2.00
8%Clean sheets33%
50%Both score67%
42%3+ goals67%