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Watford

21st · 11 pts from 12 · LLLWL

Watford are 21st in the Championship with 11 points from 12 games (3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats), having scored 10 and conceded 20.

They average 1.03 expected goals for and 1.89 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 23rd of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.

Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Watford to finish with about 49 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 44% of finishing in the bottom three.

Next up: away at Norwich on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Watford a 22% chance of winning.

23 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank

1.03xG per game

1.89xG against per game

8%clean sheets

49.0expected final points

0%chance to win the league

Next matches

Norwich vs Watford prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 55%, draw 24%, away 22%

Likeliest score 1–1

Watford vs Lincoln prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 38%, draw 27%, away 35%

Likeliest score 1–1

Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%

Likeliest score 1–1

Results this season

Wolves 1–0 Watford result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 67%, draw 20%, away 13%

1.9–0.2match xG

Watford 2–0 Charlton result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 40%, draw 30%, away 29%

2.8–1.2match xG

Cardiff 5–1 Watford result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 41%, draw 27%, away 32%

3.7–1.5match xG

Watford 0–4 Burnley result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 21%, draw 28%, away 50%

0.6–1.9match xG

Bristol City 1–0 Watford result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 48%, draw 27%, away 25%

1.6–0.5match xG

Watford 1–2 Stoke result and stats:

Win probability: home 42%, draw 29%, away 29%

0.4–1.5match xG

Watford 2–1 Preston result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 43%, draw 28%, away 29%

1.3–2.4match xG

West Brom 1–0 Watford result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 48%, draw 28%, away 24%

1.1–1.3match xG

Swansea 2–0 Watford result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 26%

2.7–0.9match xG

Watford 1–1 West Ham result and stats:

Win probability: home 29%, draw 22%, away 49%

1.6–0.9match xG

Wrexham 1–1 Watford result and stats:

Win probability: home 52%, draw 24%, away 24%

1.9–0.7match xG

Watford 2–1 Southampton result and stats:

Win probability: home 26%, draw 24%, away 50%

0.8–1.7match xG

Season stats per game

Goals scored0.83

Goals conceded1.67

Expected goals (xG)1.03

xG against1.89

Shots12.2

Shots on target4.0

Shots on target against5.1

Conversion (goals per shot on target)21%

Corners3.5

Fouls11.2

Yellow cards2.75

Red cards0.00

Clean sheets8%

Both teams scored50%

3 or more goals42%

Failed to score42%

GOSSIPBALL rating

Attack (vs league average)-0.13

Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.10

Overall-0.23

What these numbers mean