Watford vs Southampton result and stats
Win probability: home 26%, draw 24%, away 50%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWatford beat Southampton 2–1 at home in the Championship on Sunday 16 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Watford 26%, the draw 24% and Southampton 50%, so a home win had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Watford 0.81, Southampton 1.71, so Southampton created the better chances. Watford had 16 shots (3 on target) to Southampton's 17 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WASO
0.81Expected goals1.71
16Shots17
3On target3
4Corners8
12Fouls9
6Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: M Donohue
Recent form
Watford
L v Coventry0–4 · 2 May
L @ Middlesbrough1–5 · 25 Apr
L @ West Brom0–3 · 21 Apr
L v Sheffield United0–2 · 18 Apr
L @ Oxford0–2 · 11 Apr
Southampton
W @ Preston3–1 · 2 May
D v Ipswich2–2 · 28 Apr
D v Bristol City2–2 · 21 Apr
W @ Swansea2–1 · 18 Apr
W v Blackburn3–0 · 14 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Watford won 0, Southampton won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Southampton 1–0 Watford, a win for Southampton.
Southampton 1–0 Watford7 Feb 2026
Watford 2–2 Southampton30 Aug 2025
Southampton 3–2 Watford13 Apr 2024
Watford 1–1 Southampton9 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
WASO
0.83Goals2.00
1.67Conceded1.00
1.03xG1.77
1.89xG against1.30
12.2Shots15.2
4.0On target4.6
3.5Corners5.1
2.75Yellow cards1.92
8%Clean sheets25%
50%Both score75%
42%3+ goals58%