Bristol City vs Watford result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 27%, away 25%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBristol City beat Watford 1–0 at home in the Championship on Friday 18 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Bristol City 48%, the draw 27% and Watford 25%, so a home win had a 48% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Bristol City 1.56, Watford 0.52, so Bristol City created the better chances. Bristol City had 17 shots (7 on target) to Watford's 10 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BCWA
1.56Expected goals0.52
17Shots10
7On target2
2Corners5
11Fouls15
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: O Langford
Recent form
Bristol City
L v Lincoln0–1 · 15 Sep
L @ Southampton1–4 · 12 Sep
W @ Burnley2–1 · 5 Sep
W @ Preston3–1 · 1 Sep
W v Portsmouth2–1 · 29 Aug
Watford
L v Stoke1–2 · 12 Sep
W v Preston2–1 · 8 Sep
L @ West Brom0–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Swansea0–2 · 1 Sep
D v West Ham1–1 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Bristol City won 2, Watford won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 Feb 2026, finished Bristol City 1–2 Watford, a win for Watford.
Bristol City 1–2 Watford27 Feb 2026
Watford 1–1 Bristol City7 Nov 2025
Bristol City 2–1 Watford5 Apr 2025
Watford 1–0 Bristol City26 Nov 2024
Bristol City 1–1 Watford20 Jan 2024
Watford 1–4 Bristol City26 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
BCWA
1.00Goals0.83
1.25Conceded1.67
1.30xG1.03
1.34xG against1.89
13.5Shots12.2
4.0On target4.0
5.5Corners3.5
1.33Yellow cards2.75
17%Clean sheets8%
50%Both score50%
42%3+ goals42%