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Bristol City

14th · 15 pts from 12 · WDLLD

Bristol City are 14th in the Championship with 15 points from 12 games (4 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats), having scored 12 and conceded 15.

They average 1.30 expected goals for and 1.34 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 13th of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.

Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Bristol City to finish with about 59 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 1% of a top-four finish and 6% of finishing in the bottom three.

Next up: away at Bolton on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Bristol City a 36% chance of winning.

13 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank

1.30xG per game

1.34xG against per game

17%clean sheets

59.0expected final points

0%chance to win the league

Next matches

Bolton vs Bristol City prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%

Likeliest score 1–1

Bristol City vs Wolves prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%

Likeliest score 1–1

Bristol City vs Norwich prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 33%

Likeliest score 1–1

Results this season

Stoke 0–0 Bristol City result and stats:

Win probability: home 36%, draw 29%, away 35%

1.1–0.8match xG

Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield United result and stats:

Sheffield United1

Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 33%

0.7–1.4match xG

Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn result and stats:

Win probability: home 46%, draw 29%, away 25%

1.9–0.1match xG

Charlton 1–1 Bristol City result and stats:

Win probability: home 32%, draw 31%, away 37%

1.8–1.5match xG

Bristol City 1–0 Watford result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 48%, draw 27%, away 25%

1.6–0.5match xG

Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln result and stats:

Win probability: home 42%, draw 29%, away 29%

1.5–0.5match xG

Southampton 4–1 Bristol City result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 59%, draw 22%, away 20%

1.7–2.2match xG

Burnley 1–2 Bristol City result and stats:

Win probability: home 63%, draw 24%, away 13%

0.3–1.1match xG

Preston 1–3 Bristol City result and stats:

Win probability: home 37%, draw 28%, away 34%

1.9–1.9match xG

Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 25%

0.6–1.4match xG

Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City result and stats:

Win probability: home 41%, draw 29%, away 30%

2.0–1.4match xG

Bristol City 0–2 Millwall result and stats:

Win probability: home 37%, draw 30%, away 33%

0.5–3.4match xG

Season stats per game

Goals scored1.00

Goals conceded1.25

Expected goals (xG)1.30

xG against1.34

Shots13.5

Shots on target4.0

Shots on target against2.5

Conversion (goals per shot on target)25%

Corners5.5

Fouls11.8

Yellow cards1.33

Red cards0.08

Clean sheets17%

Both teams scored50%

3 or more goals42%

Failed to score42%

GOSSIPBALL rating

Attack (vs league average)-0.04

Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.05

Overall+0.01

What these numbers mean