Southampton vs Bristol City result and stats
Win probability: home 59%, draw 22%, away 20%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSouthampton beat Bristol City 4–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Southampton 59%, the draw 22% and Bristol City 20%, so a home win had a 59% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Southampton 1.71, Bristol City 2.24, so Bristol City created the better chances. Southampton had 10 shots (5 on target) to Bristol City's 21 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SOBC
1.71Expected goals2.24
10Shots21
5On target6
2Corners5
6Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: S Allison
Recent form
Southampton
W v Swansea3–1 · 8 Sep
D @ Lincoln1–1 · 5 Sep
D @ Birmingham1–1 · 1 Sep
W v Millwall5–1 · 29 Aug
W v Stoke3–1 · 22 Aug
Bristol City
W @ Burnley2–1 · 5 Sep
W @ Preston3–1 · 1 Sep
W v Portsmouth2–1 · 29 Aug
D @ Birmingham2–2 · 22 Aug
L v Millwall0–2 · 15 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Southampton won 1, Bristol City won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Southampton 2–2 Bristol City21 Apr 2026
Bristol City 3–1 Southampton21 Oct 2025
Bristol City 3–1 Southampton13 Feb 2024
Southampton 1–0 Bristol City29 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
SOBC
2.00Goals1.00
1.00Conceded1.25
1.77xG1.30
1.30xG against1.34
15.2Shots13.5
4.6On target4.0
5.1Corners5.5
1.92Yellow cards1.33
25%Clean sheets17%
75%Both score50%
58%3+ goals42%