ChampionshipMatchday 14Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 20:00

Bristol City vs Wolves prediction

Bristol City

28%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

13.0% chance

27%

draw

Wolves

45%

away win

Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wolves slight favourites to beat Bristol City away from home in the Championship on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Bristol City a 28% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Wolves 45%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Bristol City and 1.4 from Wolves, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Bristol City keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Wolves in 34%.

Bristol City are 14th in the table with 15 points from 12 games; Wolves are 5th with 21. In their last five league games Bristol City took 5 points (WDLLD) and Wolves took 7 (LLWDW). This season Bristol City average 1.30 expected goals (xG) for and 1.34 against per game; Wolves average 1.74 for and 0.93 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Bristol City goalsColumns: Wolves goals

1–113.0%

0–111.1%

1–29.0%

0–08.5%

0–28.3%

1–08.2%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

92%

2 or more goals

72%

3 or more goals

46%

4 or more goals

25%

5 or more goals

11%

Both teams score

51%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.08 for Bristol City and 1.44 for Wolves.

Winning margin

Explained

Bristol City by 3

Bristol City by 2

Bristol City by 1

17%

Draw

27%

Wolves by 3

Wolves by 2

14%

Wolves by 1

23%

Each team's goals

Explained

Bristol City expected goals1.08

Wolves expected goals1.44

Bristol City keep a clean sheet24%

Wolves keep a clean sheet34%

Bristol City win without conceding15%

Wolves win without conceding25%

Bristol City score 2 or more29%

Wolves score 2 or more42%

Recent form

Bristol City

D @ Stoke0–0 · 24 Oct

L v Sheffield United0–1 · 17 Oct

L v Blackburn0–1 · 13 Oct

D @ Charlton1–1 · 10 Oct

W v Watford1–0 · 18 Sep

Wolves

W v Watford1–0 · 24 Oct

D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Oct

W @ Burnley2–1 · 16 Oct

L v Bolton1–3 · 13 Oct

L @ Middlesbrough0–1 · 10 Oct

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

BCWO

1.00

Goals

1.67

1.25

Conceded

1.33

1.30

1.74

1.34

xG against

0.93

13.5

Shots

16.8

4.0

On target

4.2

5.5

Corners

7.1

1.33

Yellow cards

1.75

17%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Both score

67%

42%

3+ goals

58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Bristol City vs Wolves?

GossipBall gives Bristol City a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wolves 45%. GossipBall makes Wolves slight favourites to beat Bristol City away from home.

What is the most likely score in Bristol City vs Wolves?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Wolves?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Bristol City and Wolves score.

Will there be three or more goals in Bristol City vs Wolves?

There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.1 for Bristol City, 1.4 for Wolves).

When is Bristol City vs Wolves?

Kick-off is Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.