Burnley vs Bristol City result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 24%, away 13%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBristol City won 2–1 away at Burnley in the Championship on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Burnley 63%, the draw 24% and Bristol City 13%, so an away win had a 13% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Burnley 0.26, Bristol City 1.06, so Bristol City created the better chances. Burnley had 8 shots (2 on target) to Bristol City's 15 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BUBC
0.26Expected goals1.06
8Shots15
2On target4
5Corners8
13Fouls7
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Referee: G Ward
Recent form
Burnley
D v Middlesbrough1–1 · 2 Sep
L @ Norwich1–4 · 29 Aug
L @ West Brom1–3 · 23 Aug
D v West Ham2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Millwall3–1 · 3 May
Bristol City
W @ Preston3–1 · 1 Sep
W v Portsmouth2–1 · 29 Aug
D @ Birmingham2–2 · 22 Aug
L v Millwall0–2 · 15 Aug
W v Stoke2–0 · 2 May
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 4, Bristol City won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, finished Burnley 1–0 Bristol City, a win for Burnley.
Burnley 1–0 Bristol City29 Mar 2025
Bristol City 0–1 Burnley23 Nov 2024
Bristol City 1–2 Burnley29 Apr 2023
Burnley 2–1 Bristol City17 Sep 2022
Season averages per game
BUBC
1.42Goals1.00
2.08Conceded1.25
1.29xG1.30
1.63xG against1.34
13.8Shots13.5
4.2On target4.0
4.7Corners5.5
2.00Yellow cards1.33
8%Clean sheets17%
92%Both score50%
75%3+ goals42%