Burnley
Burnley are 22nd in the Championship with 8 points from 12 games (1 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats), having scored 17 and conceded 25.
They average 1.29 expected goals for and 1.63 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 3rd of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Burnley to finish with about 67 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 8% of a top-four finish and 1% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Portsmouth on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Burnley a 59% chance of winning.
3 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.29xG per game
1.63xG against per game
8%clean sheets
66.7expected final points
0.1%chance to win the league
Next matches
Burnley
Portsmouth
Win probability: home 59%, draw 24%, away 17%
Likeliest score 1–0
QPR vs Burnley prediction (Championship):
QPR
Burnley
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
Likeliest score 1–1
Cardiff vs Burnley prediction (Championship):
Cardiff
Burnley
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Lincoln4
Burnley1
Upset
Win probability: home 23%, draw 28%, away 49%
2.1–2.5match xG
Burnley 1–2 Wolves result and stats:
16 Oct
Burnley1
Wolves2
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 28%
1.0–1.8match xG
Burnley 2–2 Charlton result and stats:
13 Oct
Burnley2
Charlton2
Upset
Win probability: home 62%, draw 26%, away 12%
1.1–2.1match xG
Watford 0–4 Burnley result and stats:
10 Oct
Watford0
Burnley4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 21%, draw 28%, away 50%
0.6–1.9match xG
Burnley 1–1 Derby result and stats:
19 Sep
Burnley1
Derby1
Upset
Win probability: home 61%, draw 24%, away 15%
0.5–1.8match xG
Swansea 3–1 Burnley result and stats:
12 Sep
Swansea3
Burnley1
Upset
Win probability: home 23%, draw 30%, away 47%
2.6–1.7match xG
Wrexham 1–1 Burnley result and stats:
8 Sep
Wrexham1
Burnley1
Upset
Win probability: home 23%, draw 27%, away 49%
1.4–1.5match xG
Burnley 1–2 Bristol City result and stats:
5 Sep
Burnley1
Bristol City2
Upset
Win probability: home 63%, draw 24%, away 13%
0.3–1.1match xG
Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough result and stats:
2 Sep
Burnley1
Middlesbrough1
Upset
Win probability: home 59%, draw 26%, away 15%
0.6–1.2match xG
Norwich 4–1 Burnley result and stats:
29 Aug
Norwich4
Burnley1
Upset
Win probability: home 19%, draw 27%, away 54%
1.9–0.9match xG
West Brom 3–1 Burnley result and stats:
23 Aug
West Brom3
Burnley1
Upset
Win probability: home 15%, draw 30%, away 55%
1.6–1.2match xG
Burnley 2–2 West Ham result and stats:
16 Aug
Burnley2
West Ham2
Upset
Win probability: home 70%, draw 22%, away 8%
2.3–1.3match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.42
Goals conceded2.08
Expected goals (xG)1.29
xG against1.63
Shots13.8
Shots on target4.2
Shots on target against5.3
Conversion (goals per shot on target)34%
Corners4.7
Fouls10.1
Yellow cards2.00
Red cards0.08
Clean sheets8%
Both teams scored92%
3 or more goals75%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.16
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.28
Overall+0.44