West Brom vs Burnley result and stats
Win probability: home 15%, draw 30%, away 55%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWest Brom beat Burnley 3–1 at home in the Championship on Sunday 23 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave West Brom 15%, the draw 30% and Burnley 55%, so a home win had a 15% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished West Brom 1.63, Burnley 1.18, so West Brom created the better chances. West Brom had 11 shots (7 on target) to Burnley's 11 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WBBU
1.63Expected goals1.18
11Shots11
7On target3
3Corners5
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: A Backhouse
Recent form
West Brom
W @ Norwich2–1 · 15 Aug
L @ Sheffield Wednesday1–2 · 2 May
D v Ipswich0–0 · 25 Apr
W v Watford3–0 · 21 Apr
W @ Preston2–0 · 18 Apr
Burnley
D v West Ham2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Millwall3–1 · 3 May
W @ QPR5–0 · 26 Apr
W v Sheffield United2–1 · 21 Apr
W @ Watford2–1 · 18 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, West Brom won 0, Burnley won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Mar 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Burnley 1–1 West Brom11 Mar 2025
West Brom 0–0 Burnley7 Nov 2024
Burnley 2–1 West Brom20 Jan 2023
West Brom 1–1 Burnley2 Sep 2022
Season averages per game
WBBU
1.33Goals1.42
1.08Conceded2.08
1.40xG1.29
1.47xG against1.63
12.2Shots13.8
3.7On target4.2
5.8Corners4.7
2.00Yellow cards2.00
17%Clean sheets8%
67%Both score92%
42%3+ goals75%