Burnley vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 59%, draw 26%, away 15%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBurnley and Middlesbrough drew 1–1 in the Championship on Wednesday 2 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Burnley 59%, the draw 26% and Middlesbrough 15%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Burnley 0.63, Middlesbrough 1.23, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Burnley had 11 shots (3 on target) to Middlesbrough's 10 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BUMI
0.63Expected goals1.23
11Shots10
3On target2
5Corners1
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: M Donohue
Recent form
Burnley
L @ Norwich1–4 · 29 Aug
L @ West Brom1–3 · 23 Aug
D v West Ham2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Millwall3–1 · 3 May
W @ QPR5–0 · 26 Apr
Middlesbrough
W v West Brom3–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 22 Aug
W v Lincoln2–1 · 15 Aug
D @ Wrexham2–2 · 2 May
W v Watford5–1 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Burnley won 2, Middlesbrough won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Dec 2024, was a 0–0 draw.
Middlesbrough 0–0 Burnley29 Dec 2024
Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough6 Dec 2024
Middlesbrough 1–2 Burnley7 Apr 2023
Burnley 3–1 Middlesbrough17 Dec 2022
Season averages per game
BUMI
1.42Goals2.25
2.08Conceded1.42
1.29xG2.17
1.63xG against1.01
13.8Shots20.1
4.2On target6.7
4.7Corners6.3
2.00Yellow cards1.00
8%Clean sheets17%
92%Both score83%
75%3+ goals75%