Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough are 1st in the Championship with 25 points from 12 games (7 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats), having scored 27 and conceded 17.
They average 2.17 expected goals for and 1.01 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 5th of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Middlesbrough to finish with about 82 points, with a 11% chance of winning the league, 79% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Charlton on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Middlesbrough a 63% chance of winning.
5 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank
2.17xG per game
1.01xG against per game
17%clean sheets
82.2expected final points
11%chance to win the league
Next matches
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 63%, draw 23%, away 14%
Likeliest score 1–0
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction (Championship):
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Win probability: home 34%, draw 25%, away 41%
Likeliest score 1–1
Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction (Championship):
Watford
Middlesbrough
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
23 Oct
Bolton1
Middlesbrough5
Called correctly
Win probability: home 32%, draw 25%, away 43%
0.9–4.2match xG
Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff result and stats:
17 Oct
Middlesbrough2
Cardiff2
Upset
Win probability: home 63%, draw 20%, away 16%
2.8–0.8match xG
Stoke 2–3 Middlesbrough result and stats:
13 Oct
Stoke2
Middlesbrough3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
0.7–2.6match xG
Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves result and stats:
10 Oct
Middlesbrough1
Wolves0
Upset
Win probability: home 34%, draw 25%, away 41%
0.9–0.7match xG
Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough result and stats:
19 Sep
Birmingham2
Middlesbrough2
Upset
Win probability: home 34%, draw 27%, away 39%
1.2–2.1match xG
Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall result and stats:
15 Sep
Middlesbrough2
Millwall2
Upset
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 26%
1.5–1.7match xG
Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich result and stats:
12 Sep
Middlesbrough4
Norwich3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 51%, draw 24%, away 25%
2.1–1.6match xG
QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough result and stats:
5 Sep
QPR0
Middlesbrough1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 45%
1.0–2.5match xG
Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough result and stats:
2 Sep
Burnley1
Middlesbrough1
Upset
Win probability: home 59%, draw 26%, away 15%
0.6–1.2match xG
Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom result and stats:
29 Aug
Middlesbrough3
West Brom1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 50%, draw 27%, away 24%
2.5–1.4match xG
Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough result and stats:
22 Aug
Blackburn2
Middlesbrough1
Upset
Win probability: home 29%, draw 29%, away 42%
0.9–1.4match xG
Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln result and stats:
15 Aug
Middlesbrough2
Lincoln1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 22%
2.2–0.6match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.25
Goals conceded1.42
Expected goals (xG)2.17
xG against1.01
Shots20.1
Shots on target6.7
Shots on target against3.6
Conversion (goals per shot on target)34%
Corners6.3
Fouls10.0
Yellow cards1.00
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets17%
Both teams scored83%
3 or more goals75%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.26
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.13
Overall+0.39