Middlesbrough vs Lincoln result and stats
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 22%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough beat Lincoln 2–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Middlesbrough 53%, the draw 25% and Lincoln 22%, so a home win had a 53% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Middlesbrough 2.23, Lincoln 0.57, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Middlesbrough had 23 shots (7 on target) to Lincoln's 10 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MILI
2.23Expected goals0.57
23Shots10
7On target2
5Corners5
12Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: R Madley
Recent form
Middlesbrough
D @ Wrexham2–2 · 2 May
W v Watford5–1 · 25 Apr
W v Sheffield Wednesday1–0 · 22 Apr
D @ Ipswich2–2 · 19 Apr
L v Portsmouth0–1 · 11 Apr
Lincoln
No earlier games in this league in our data (for example, newly promoted).
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
MILI
2.25Goals1.08
1.42Conceded1.67
2.17xG1.32
1.01xG against1.46
20.1Shots12.3
6.7On target3.1
6.3Corners3.5
1.00Yellow cards2.33
17%Clean sheets33%
83%Both score50%
75%3+ goals58%