Middlesbrough vs Millwall result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 26%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough and Millwall drew 2–2 in the Championship on Tuesday 15 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Middlesbrough 47%, the draw 27% and Millwall 26%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Middlesbrough 1.52, Millwall 1.69, so Millwall created the better chances. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 11 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MIMI
1.52Expected goals1.69
22Shots11
7On target4
14Corners1
3Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Referee: R Madley
Recent form
Middlesbrough
W v Norwich4–3 · 12 Sep
W @ QPR1–0 · 5 Sep
D @ Burnley1–1 · 2 Sep
W v West Brom3–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 22 Aug
Millwall
L @ Blackburn1–3 · 12 Sep
W v Bolton4–0 · 5 Sep
L v Wrexham0–3 · 2 Sep
L @ Southampton1–5 · 29 Aug
W v Norwich3–0 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 4, Millwall won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall, a win for Millwall.
Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall3 Apr 2026
Millwall 0–3 Middlesbrough16 Aug 2025
Millwall 1–0 Middlesbrough12 Apr 2025
Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall14 Dec 2024
Millwall 1–3 Middlesbrough13 Jan 2024
Middlesbrough 0–1 Millwall5 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
MIMI
2.25Goals1.58
1.42Conceded1.67
2.17xG1.77
1.01xG against1.33
20.1Shots13.9
6.7On target3.9
6.3Corners5.8
1.00Yellow cards2.00
17%Clean sheets33%
83%Both score50%
75%3+ goals75%