QPR vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 45%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough won 1–0 away at QPR in the Championship on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave QPR 30%, the draw 26% and Middlesbrough 45%, so an away win had a 45% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished QPR 1.03, Middlesbrough 2.53, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. QPR had 16 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 16 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
QPMI
1.03Expected goals2.53
16Shots16
5On target6
12Corners3
3Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: A Madley
Recent form
QPR
W v Cardiff2–1 · 2 Sep
W @ Blackburn2–1 · 29 Aug
D v Bolton0–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Portsmouth3–1 · 15 Aug
L @ Ipswich0–3 · 2 May
Middlesbrough
D @ Burnley1–1 · 2 Sep
W v West Brom3–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 22 Aug
W v Lincoln2–1 · 15 Aug
D @ Wrexham2–2 · 2 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, QPR won 3, Middlesbrough won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished QPR 0–4 Middlesbrough, a win for Middlesbrough.
QPR 0–4 Middlesbrough8 Mar 2026
Middlesbrough 3–1 QPR13 Dec 2025
Middlesbrough 2–1 QPR11 Mar 2025
QPR 1–4 Middlesbrough5 Nov 2024
QPR 0–2 Middlesbrough9 Mar 2024
Middlesbrough 0–2 QPR2 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
QPMI
1.67Goals2.25
1.00Conceded1.42
1.74xG2.17
1.13xG against1.01
14.6Shots20.1
5.1On target6.7
5.5Corners6.3
1.92Yellow cards1.00
25%Clean sheets17%
58%Both score83%
58%3+ goals75%