Blackburn vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 29%, draw 29%, away 42%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBlackburn beat Middlesbrough 2–1 at home in the Championship on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Blackburn 29%, the draw 29% and Middlesbrough 42%, so a home win had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Blackburn 0.91, Middlesbrough 1.43, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Blackburn had 6 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 22 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BLMI
0.91Expected goals1.43
6Shots22
5On target3
2Corners10
10Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: T Reeves
Recent form
Blackburn
D @ Wolves2–2 · 14 Aug
L v Leicester0–1 · 2 May
W @ Sheffield United3–1 · 22 Apr
D v Coventry1–1 · 17 Apr
L @ Southampton0–3 · 14 Apr
Middlesbrough
W v Lincoln2–1 · 15 Aug
D @ Wrexham2–2 · 2 May
W v Watford5–1 · 25 Apr
W v Sheffield Wednesday1–0 · 22 Apr
D @ Ipswich2–2 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Blackburn won 4, Middlesbrough won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Blackburn 0–0 Middlesbrough21 Mar 2026
Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn26 Dec 2025
Blackburn 0–2 Middlesbrough4 Apr 2025
Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn27 Nov 2024
Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn16 Mar 2024
Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough16 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
BLMI
1.58Goals2.25
1.33Conceded1.42
1.02xG2.17
1.75xG against1.01
11.6Shots20.1
4.1On target6.7
6.2Corners6.3
2.50Yellow cards1.00
25%Clean sheets17%
75%Both score83%
75%3+ goals75%