Bolton vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 32%, draw 25%, away 43%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMiddlesbrough won 5–1 away at Bolton in the Championship on Friday 23 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Bolton 32%, the draw 25% and Middlesbrough 43%, so an away win had a 43% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Bolton 0.91, Middlesbrough 4.17, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Bolton had 12 shots (4 on target) to Middlesbrough's 31 (12 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BOMI
0.91Expected goals4.17
12Shots31
4On target12
2Corners12
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals3
Referee: S Hooper
Recent form
Bolton
D @ Southampton0–0 · 17 Oct
W @ Wolves3–1 · 13 Oct
L v Stoke1–2 · 10 Oct
W @ Norwich4–3 · 20 Sep
W v Cardiff1–0 · 12 Sep
Middlesbrough
D v Cardiff2–2 · 17 Oct
W @ Stoke3–2 · 13 Oct
W v Wolves1–0 · 10 Oct
D @ Birmingham2–2 · 19 Sep
D v Millwall2–2 · 15 Sep
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
BOMI
1.33Goals2.25
1.92Conceded1.42
1.36xG2.17
1.91xG against1.01
13.7Shots20.1
4.7On target6.7
5.1Corners6.3
1.67Yellow cards1.00
25%Clean sheets17%
58%Both score83%
67%3+ goals75%