Birmingham vs Middlesbrough result and stats
Win probability: home 34%, draw 27%, away 39%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBirmingham and Middlesbrough drew 2–2 in the Championship on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Birmingham 34%, the draw 27% and Middlesbrough 39%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Birmingham 1.23, Middlesbrough 2.14, so Middlesbrough created the better chances. Birmingham had 15 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 15 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BIMI
1.23Expected goals2.14
15Shots15
5On target4
5Corners3
11Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: D Webb
Recent form
Birmingham
W @ Derby2–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Norwich1–2 · 9 Sep
D v Wolves2–2 · 6 Sep
D v Southampton1–1 · 1 Sep
W @ Wrexham2–1 · 28 Aug
Middlesbrough
D v Millwall2–2 · 15 Sep
W v Norwich4–3 · 12 Sep
W @ QPR1–0 · 5 Sep
D @ Burnley1–1 · 2 Sep
W v West Brom3–1 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Birmingham won 1, Middlesbrough won 7 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Mar 2026, finished Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough, a win for Middlesbrough.
Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough2 Mar 2026
Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham8 Nov 2025
Birmingham 0–1 Middlesbrough12 Mar 2024
Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham21 Oct 2023
Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough2 Jan 2023
Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham5 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
BIMI
1.67Goals2.25
1.00Conceded1.42
1.70xG2.17
1.38xG against1.01
13.2Shots20.1
4.6On target6.7
5.5Corners6.3
2.08Yellow cards1.00
33%Clean sheets17%
58%Both score83%
67%3+ goals75%